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How did they get this far?

12:20 am February 26th, 2008 by Cailinm · 1 Comment

The Democrats have two great candidates running to become the party’s nominee.  Most would be happy with either and that’s why it’s now nearly March and the Democrats still do not have an opponent for presumed Republican nominee John McCain.  It was never meant to go past Super Tuesday, no one could have guessed.  The presumed nominee from several months ago is now becoming the underdog and the race just keeps going and going, it seems impossible that they both could have made it to this point.  Simple differences and decisions set this race on a course beyond February.

Senator Barack Obama came out of the woodwork starting four years ago when he gave a memorable speech at the Democratic National Convention.  When he started his campaign two years ago, he was generally dismissed, only a senator since being elected in 2005. Many were surprised by Obama’s announcement on February 10th 2007 that he would go up against a woman who already would be seeing pledged superdelegates in her near future, before any of these crazy contests ever began.

No one expected a race like this.  Hillary Clinton was once the presumed nominee, she looked unbeatable.  We all expected to have our former first lady hailed the nominee early in the primary season and already taking aim at her Republican counterpart.  But now, surprisingly she is possibly only a little over a week away from losing her bid for her party’s nomination.

After a string of losses, the Clinton campaign had some shake-ups of their own, those being the firings and hirings of key campaign workers.  Her campaign had a plan up until February 5th not many thought the contest would continue afterwards, but here we are approaching the contests in Texas, Ohio, Road Island and Vermont.  It has been decades since America has seen such a long and drawn out process by two candidates.  The Clinton campaign’s chief strategist, Mark Penn, and their communications director, Howard Wolfson, say that they are frustrated that they are “running against a phenomenon.”  Obama’s entire campaign has been a phenomenon.

How could it get this close and stay so close for this long?  This election season has had many twists and turns.  There are two major changes I see that have continued this contentious primary to this point.   One is the surprise turnout of voters under the age of 30 and the other being candidates’ differing strategies to win delegates.

People my age are notorious for being apathetic about voting in elections, even presidential ones.  This year is remarkably different, Obama has a huge youth base and that base actually turned out to the polls.  This gave Obama his own edge against Clinton’s elderly population base.

Clinton then fell victim to what most political analysts are calling a flawed campaign strategy.  Obama’s campaign for President has been criticized too; receiving mixed reviews.  But Clinton planned on winning on Super Tuesday by winning the big states handily and this was what could eventually be considered her fatal error.  Obama on the other hand won more states by going after all the smaller states.  By the end of the night, Super Tuesday was clearly a draw and Clinton was left with no plans for what came next. 

Today we are about a week away from two of the biggest contests yet to come, Ohio and Texas and Clinton’s candidacy is on the line.  Obama is coming off 11 straight wins and the current polls are not indicating a probability of Clinton scoring any big wins next Tuesday night.  Two wins by large margins is exactly what she needs to stay alive. Even if she wins only Ohio, she could still go on to Pennsylvania.  The race still could be far from over, continuing both Obama and Clinton’s long journey for delegates and advancing to the next race and the next turning point.

By: Max Helman, Phil Pirwitz and Celia Hunko

Tags: Barack Obama · Democrat · Hillary Clinton · Ohio · Texas

1 response so far ↓

  • 1 Donna Hansen // Feb 29, 2008 at 6:30 pm

    Hi Cailin,
    Your article was wonderful!
    You are such a great informative writer.
    I am sure this has been an exciting experience for you in Texas.
    I will be anxious to hear from you when you return.
    Donna

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