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First round of polls from West Virginia

11:53 am May 8th, 2008 by burlinea · 1 Comment

Hillary Clinton vowed to stay in the race- even with time, options and money in short supply. The current delegate count sets Obama ahead of Clinton by 156 delegates.

Delegate Count:

Democrats Total

2,024 Needed

1. Obama 1,840
2. Clinton 1,684
3. Edwards 18 (Out)
Republicans Total

1,191 Needed

1. McCain 1,334
2. Huckabee 278 (Out)
3. Romney 251 (Out)
4. Paul 14

Source: Associated Press

Politico is reporting a rough week for Obama in West Virginia after the first round of polling.

The Rassmussen survey has Clinton at 56 percent, and Obama at 27 percent.

The poll also has more than three-quarters of Democrats having followed the Wright story “very” or “somewhat” closely, and more than half of all voters saying Obama shares some of Wright’s “controversial” views.

Kentucky showed almost identical numbers to West Virginia, with Clinton leading 56 percent to 31 percent over Obama. Oregon has Obama leading 51 to 39 percent.

Tuesday’s results positioned Obama as the all-but-certain nominee. Consider West Virginia. The state has 28 delegates. A generous 30 point lead nets Clinton 8 delegates, which is still 148 short of Obama. With small delegate counts in the upcoming Kentucky and Oregon primaries (60 and 65) Clinton’s path is nearly unclimbable.

Mathematically, she needs 70 percent of the remaining votes cast in the primaries to overtake Obama. The calls for Clinton to quit will get louder, but in the meantime, Clinton remains hopeful.

At least one prominent Democrat, Clinton supporter and former South Dakota Sen. George McGovern, called on Clinton to quit the race. Others held back, allowing her to assess the landscape and draw her own conclusion about how to proceed.

But at a news conference in West Virginia, the former first lady showed no sign of going anywhere. “I’m staying in this race until there’s a nominee,” she declared.

Tags: Barack Obama · Hillary Clinton

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