Despite many media outlets reporting that Barack Obama is ahead in all aspects of “the math” - popular vote, states won, pledged and superdelegates won, etc. - Hillary Clinton still argues that she can and should win the Democratic nomination.
Here’s her version of the math, as told during a speech in Kentucky:
“Right now I am leading in the popular vote –- more Americans have voted for me,” she said. “Right now if you add up the states that I have won, it totals 300 electoral votes you have to have 270 to win -– now there are some states I’ve won that maybe won’t go for the Democrat, like Texas or Oklahoma, but I still have a comfortable margin. My opponent has won states totaling 217 electoral votes and lots of states like Alaska, Idaho and Utah that haven’t voted for a Democrat in a long time. So if you look at the states we have to win, if you look at the big states, if you look at the swing states, I am the stronger candidate.”
It sounds like she is including votes from Michigan and Florida - which she won although neither candidate was allowed to campaign in either state - and those delegations are not likely to be seated as the numbers stand now. Clinton is also focusing on the argument that she can beat John McCain, interestingly not addressing the fact that Obama will likely beat her for the nomination.
She also made the argument that every time someone counts her out of the race, she makes a comeback:
“There’s some people who have been saying for months that this is over –- and every time they say it the voters come back and say, “Oooh no it’s not, we’re not ready for it to be over,’” she said.
Unfortunately for Clinton, she doesn’t have much time left to prove herself. Only a few contests remain: Kentucky and Oregon (May 20), Montana and South Dakota (June 3), and Puerto Rico (June 7).
Some reports say that if Obama wins big in Oregon, the state could put him over the top in terms of securing the nomination. Emails from Obama’s campaign encourage this notion to get out the vote in Oregon.
The question is: If Obama does win the majority of delegates he needs to secure the nomination, will Hillary keep fighting even then? She could still try to win over the superdelegates or seat the delegations in Michigan and Florida. That would indicate a serious split in the Democratic party. We can only wait to see what will happen.
5 responses so far ↓
1 Hillary Clinton Updates » Blog Archive » Clinton spins the math // May 17, 2008 at 2:53 pm
[…] Read the rest of this great post here […]
2 Clinton spins the math // May 17, 2008 at 2:56 pm
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3 Barack Obama » Clinton spins the math // May 17, 2008 at 3:00 pm
[…] The 115- Fear and Loathing in America: Random Babble from the Red-Eyed Counterculture wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerptDespite many media outlets reporting that Barack Obama is ahead in all aspects of “t… […]
4 My new WordPress MU Site » Blog Archive » Clinton spins the math // May 17, 2008 at 3:22 pm
[…] Kel wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerptThe question is: If Obama does win the majority of delegates he needs to secure the nomination, will Hillary keep fighting even then? She could still try to win over the superdelegates or seat the delegations in Michigan and Florida. … […]
5 test » Blog Archive » Clinton spins the math // May 17, 2008 at 3:25 pm
[…] Jesse Wendel wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerpt… media outlets reporting that Barack Obama is ahead in all aspects of “the math” - popular vote, states won, pledged and superdelegates won, etc. - Hillary Clinton still argues that she can and should win the Democratic nomination. … Read the rest of this great post here […]
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